10.1184/R1/6613679.v1 Alan Jern Alan Jern Kai-Min Chang Kai-Min Chang Charles Kemp Charles Kemp Bayesian Belief Polarization Carnegie Mellon University 2009 psychology 2009-12-01 00:00:00 Journal contribution https://kilthub.cmu.edu/articles/journal_contribution/Bayesian_Belief_Polarization/6613679 <p>Empirical studies have documented cases of belief polarization, where two people with opposing prior beliefs both strengthen their beliefs after observing the same evidence. Belief polarization is frequently offered as evidence of human irrationality, but we demonstrate that this phenomenon is consistent with a fully Bayesian approach to belief revision. Simulation results indicate that belief polarization is not only possible but relatively common within the set of Bayesian models that we consider</p>