Paid search advertising has been a major form of online advertising in recent years. In
this form of advertising, an advertiser submits a list of keywords to major search engines.
When one of the keywords matches the query keyword that a search engines user submits,
the ad of this advertiser will have a chance to be shown on the search result page. If the
user is interested and clicks on the ad, the advertiser will be billed of each clickthrough
with a predetermined cost-per-click fee by the search engine, regardless whether the user
purchases anything after entering the advertiser’s website. The advertiser will try to
make a profit by hoping a higher probability that a clickthrough can end with a sale. So
in an ad campaign the fundamental question the advertiser wants to ask is: what are the
good keywords that can attract more clickthrough traffic form search engines, and more
importantly have higher sale conversion rate given these clickthrough traffic? Several
marketing literatures have addressed this issue but their keywords selection and
evaluation methods need human interactions. Our goal is to try to develop a statistical
learning method that can automate the keyword evaluation processes. This paper is our
pilot study and we want to know whether such statistical learning method can really the
same or even better job than human As a comparison, we compared our result with
another study with the same data but using mainly manual evaluation process. The result
shows our method has better prediction accuracy.