posted on 2005-12-28, 00:00authored byRoberto A. Weber
Several previous experiments using the minimum effort (weak link) coordination
game reveal a striking regularity – large groups never coordinate
tacitly on the efficient equilibrium. Given the frequency with which large
real-world groups, such as firms, face similarly difficult coordination problems,
this poses an important question for economics and organization: Why
do we observe large successfully coordinated groups in the real world when
they are so difficult to create in the laboratory? This paper presents one
reason.
A simple model of dynamic adjustment under strategic uncertainty demonstrates
that by starting with a small group and then adding only entrants who
are aware of the group’s history, one can obtain groups coordinated at higher
levels of efficiency than in groups that start off large. Experiments provide
support for this result, showing that, even though efficient coordination does
not occur in groups that start off large, efficiently coordinated large groups
can be “grown.” That is, by starting with small groups that find it easier to
coordinate, we can add entrants – who are aware of the group’s history – to
create efficiently coordinated large groups. This represents the first experimental
demonstration of independent large groups tacitly coordinated at high
levels of efficiency. However, the experiments also demonstrate that growth
can be “too fast” and that “managers” may not always be aware of the need
for slow growth.