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Misconceptions Regarding the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates

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posted on 2008-04-01, 00:00 authored by Bennett T. McCallum
The paper reviews issues related to the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and argues that all of the following propositions are invalid: (1) in a ZLB situation, "shaping interest rate expectations is essentially the only tool that central bankers have" (Bernanke, Reinhart, and Sack [2004]); (2) fiscal policy actions such as "helicopter drops" are in theory more effective than monetary policy actions; (3) the prominent "foolproof way" policy rule of Svensson (2001, 2003) is applicable more generally-that is, even when exact uncovered interest parity holds-than the alternative exchange rate rule of McCallum (2000); (4) both of the exchange rate strategies described in (3) are open to the objection that they constitute "beggar-thy-neighbor" approaches; and (5) there is a significant danger of ZLB difficulties stemming from a "deflationary trap" type of equilibrium, as distinct from a "liquidity trap."

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2008-04-01

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