posted on 2007-02-01, 00:00authored byHugo Horta, Francisco Veloso
Recent reports suggest that, during the 1990s, the EU15 overcame the US as the world largest scientific
producing block. In this paper we perform a comprehensive comparative analysis of the evolution of the
EU15 and US scientific output and impact throughout the 1990s looking at publications and impact trends
by scientific field. Results show that changes of scientific production between the two blocks are associated
with a set of scientific fields which grew or declined at a fast rate in the decade. During this period, the
EU15 had eight fields of science growing above 10% in relation to the average of the world, corresponding
to a 13% of the total papers published, while the US had only four fast growing fields, representing 6% of
total output. The situation was exactly reverse for the decline, with the US having more than double the
number of scientific fields and relative weight declining above 10% compared to the EU15. Despite this
change, the US maintains a distant leadership in impact across all scientific fields. A detailed analysis of
the EU15 countries shows some convergence in terms of outputs and impact, but considerable differences
among countries remain. These reflect the evolution, not only of their science, technology and higher
education systems, but also their integration in the international science system.