posted on 2006-06-01, 00:00authored byDon A. Moore
People report themselves to be above average on simple tasks and below average on difficult
tasks. This paper builds on prior research demonstrating this effect and proposes a simpler
explanation for it: that people easily conflate relative with absolute evaluation, especially on
ambiguous measures of evaluation. The paper then presents a series of four studies that examine
this conflation explanation in successively more stringent tests. These tests distinguish
conflation from other explanations, such as regression, differential weighting, and selecting the
wrong referent. The effect of absolute performance on ratings of relative performance proves to
be remarkably robust, particularly on ambiguous measures, and the results are explained better
by conflation than by other theories.