posted on 2020-05-12, 19:12authored byAriana Martine Mapua
Since
the late 90s, the United States has been dealing with an increased abuse of
opoids, with more overdose deaths resulting in what we now call "the
opoid epidemic." Drawing
inspiration from J.D. Vance's 2016 memoir, Hillbilly
Elegy, this paper examines several factors that
may have contribute to the overdose deaths, focusing on sociological factors
such as association rates, crime rates, and physical and mental
distress. I use 2016 cross-sectional
data from 412 counties, regressing the log of drug overdose death rate on
serval factors to construct a model of the epidemic, aiming to find specific
factors to target when considering how to tackle the crisis. I also use Akaike information criterion
(AIC) to determine the best factors to include in my model. I find that while sociological factors play
some role in overdose deaths, this role is smaller than I had hypothsized. The model suggests instead that economic
factors such as unemployment rate and income inequality are more
important. However this model does not
account for possible multicollinearity and endogeneity; thus further tests
need to be conducted to better understand how these factors impact opioid
overdose deaths.